Chinese Companies Halt U.S. Farm Goods Purchase

After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Nov 13, 2018Frozen Out of China, U.S. Soybean Farmers Refuse to Sell - Caixin Global+0.2%
• Jan 7, 2019U.S. farmers fret as Chinese soy purchases move elsewhere | Farmtario-1.1%
• Oct 1, 2026China Promised to Buy More U.S. Farm Goods. It Hasn’t Happened.+0.3%
• Sep 25, 2025US-Argentine Deal Adds to Farm Groups' Frustration Over Lack of Chinese Purchases+0.4%
• Aug 6, 2019Lashing back, China lets yuan drop, halts US farm purchases | AP News+1.3%

After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.

• Jun 1, 2026Explainer: What do China's new US farm purchases mean for global trade?-5.5%
• Oct 1, 2026China Promised to Buy More U.S. Farm Goods. It Hasn’t Happened.-1.2%
• Jun 1, 2020China asks state firms to halt purchases of U.S. soybeans, pork, sources say+2.0%
• May 27, 2021China’s Scrutiny of Corn Imports Spurs U.S. Cargo Cancellations - Caixin Global+6.1%
• Sep 29, 2023Ample supplies in Chinese corn market to weigh on global prices+1.9%

After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.

• Jan 16, 2020China's 'market condition' caveat on U.S. ag purchases adds to trade deal doubts-0.2%
• Mar 22, 2019China halts new purchases of all Canadian canola, imposes strict inspections of other agriculture goods - The Logic+1.1%
• Apr 24, 2023US corn falls after China cancels purchases; drags wheat, soy lower-8.3%
• Sep 13, 2019China's soybean purchase keeps rally alive+2.2%
• Aug 9, 2022Explainer: Can Ukraine's grain deal ease the global food crisis? | Reuters-0.1%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.