China Promised to Buy More U.S. Farm Goods. It Hasn’t Happened.

After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Dec 23, 2021China to fall short on promises to U.S. as trade deal ends-0.1%
• Aug 6, 2019Chinese Companies Halt U.S. Farm Goods Purchase - Caixin Global+1.3%
• Nov 22, 2021China's Soy Imports Slump in October, as "U.S. Pork Exports to Mexico Show Promise" - Farm Policy News-1.7%
• May 29, 2020China may buy less American farm products if U.S. issues severe HK response: sources+2.4%
• Apr 4, 2018China Tariff Threat Prompts U.S. Farmers to Weigh Changes+1.2%

After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.

• Dec 23, 2021China to fall short on promises to U.S. as trade deal ends-0.7%
• Aug 6, 2019Chinese Companies Halt U.S. Farm Goods Purchase - Caixin Global-3.1%
• May 29, 2020China may buy less American farm products if U.S. issues severe HK response: sources+1.0%
• Apr 4, 2018China Tariff Threat Prompts U.S. Farmers to Weigh Changes+0.2%
• May 2, 2025The Farmer's Exchange Online China Says It Doesn't Need U.S. Grain-3.8%