China Tariff Threat Prompts U.S. Farmers to Weigh Changes

After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Nov 7, 2024Trump's tariff threat puts US farm exports to China at risk+1.0%
• Jun 18, 2018Trump's tariff war threatens to erode support of farmers-1.2%
• Mar 29, 2018Chinese soybean tariffs would hurt U.S. soybean farmers+1.3%
• Dec 1, 2020China Targets U.S. Farm Imports With Tariffs | Feed & Grain-0.9%
• Apr 5, 2018All the Threats and Tariffs in the U.S.-China Trade Conflict+3.2%

After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.

• Nov 7, 2024Trump's tariff threat puts US farm exports to China at risk-0.1%
• May 31, 2019Mexican Tariffs Pose Threat for Texas Corn Farmers - Texas Corn Producers-2.5%
• Dec 1, 2020China Targets U.S. Farm Imports With Tariffs | Feed & Grain-0.4%
• May 6, 2019China stocks, yuan tumble on Trump's fresh tariff threats | Reuters-3.2%
• Apr 12, 2025White House looks at how to help farmers hurt by China tariffs : NPR+1.1%

After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.

• Dec 1, 2020China Targets U.S. Farm Imports With Tariffs | Feed & Grain+9.5%
• Jul 1, 2019What extra U.S. farm products could China buy?-9.6%
• Nov 2, 2018As China soy demand wavers, U.S. farmers turn back to grains-4.0%
• Mar 16, 2026Soybeans limit down after Trump threatens to delay China summit - Pro Farmer-2.8%
• Nov 20, 2020China Targets U.S. Farm Imports With Tariffs on Soy, Corn - Pork Business-2.9%