What extra U.S. farm products could China buy?

After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.

• Apr 4, 2018China Tariff Threat Prompts U.S. Farmers to Weigh Changes+0.7%
• Nov 20, 2020China Targets U.S. Farm Imports With Tariffs on Soy, Corn - Pork Business-2.9%
• Aug 23, 2019China to impose extra tariffs on U.S. soy, beef and pork+1.9%
• Dec 1, 2020China Targets U.S. Farm Imports With Tariffs | Feed & Grain+9.5%
• Feb 8, 2024US farm exports hit three-year low in 2023 as China slows buying-4.2%

After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.

• Apr 14, 2020China buys more US farm products amid plunge in trade-3.2%
• Oct 31, 2019Exclusive: Beijing could ax extra tariffs on U.S. farm products to boost imports - China trade association chief-0.1%
• Jul 2, 2026China and U.S. seek tariff rollback on farm products - TT+4.2%
• Feb 1, 2021China buys U.S. ag products, helps boost market prices - Texas Farm Bureau-0.2%
• May 13, 2020ADM still optimistic China's U.S. farm products buying will hit Phase 1 target-0.8%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.