
China's purchases of U.S. agricultural and related products totaled $10.7 billion through April 2024, the same pace as 2021 but behind 2022 and 2023. Soybean and corn purchases have fallen sharply on a dollar basis, while poultry exports are also lower.
Weaker Chinese buying of U.S. soybeans and corn means less export demand to absorb U.S. supplies, which weighs on domestic futures and basis.
After 803 past bearish trade events, SOY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.