
USD/CAD rose to a one-week high near 1.3450 on Thursday as WTI fell below $40 after a 32.9% annualised US Q2 GDP contraction. Analysts expected a 3.5% Canadian May expansion.
A sharp crude selloff weakens oil-linked currencies and signals weaker energy demand, which can pressure energy-linked commodities and related feed input costs.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.