Loading…
CIBC weakened its USD/CAD forecast, expecting the pair to reach 1.31 by end-2022 and 1.33 in early 2023. The bank cited a Fed terminal rate above the Bank of Canada's and a likely global slowdown that would hit commodity prices.
A forecast of a weaker loonie and softer commodity prices in 2023 points to weaker resource-export income, a modest macro headwind for commodity prices.
octaafrica.netJun 28, 2022Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
