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USD/CAD held near two-week lows below 1.2600 on August 31, 2021, ahead of Canada's GDP release. Fading expectations of an early Fed rate increase and lower U.S. Treasury yields weighed on the U.S. dollar, while a modest pullback in crude oil limited the loonie's losses.
A broadly weaker U.S. dollar supports commodity prices priced in dollars. Softer crude limits the loonie's support from energy exports.
octaafrica.netAug 31, 2021Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
