
USD/CAD fell to near 1.3460 in Asian trade as the U.S. dollar eased ahead of U.S. core PCE inflation data and Canadian Q2 GDP. Traders expect the Federal Reserve to start cutting rates in September, with a 34.5% probability of a 50 basis point cut.
Dollar weakness on expected Fed easing supports dollar-denominated commodity prices, but this is a currency preview with limited direct feed market impact.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.