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The US dollar fell to its lowest level in more than a year after June inflation data showed core CPI rising 0.2% month on month, below expectations. Annual core CPI slowed to 4.8%, under the expected 5% and the smallest annual increase in over two years.
Cooling US inflation lowers expectations for further Fed tightening, which weakens the dollar. A weaker dollar typically supports dollar-denominated grain and oilseed prices and improves export competitiveness.
reuters.comGertrude Chavez-DreyfussJul 12, 2023After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Softer-than-expected June core CPI released July 12 drove the dollar to a 1+ year low, directly explaining the -0.92% one-day drop ending that date.
