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The dollar gained after a 1% rise on Monday, with tariff risks receding and focus shifting to Fed policy and jobs data. Analysts said the Fed may need to keep rate-cut options open, with several FOMC members expecting cuts later in the year.
Expectations of a possible future rate cut limit dollar upside, so the dollar's direction for commodity pricing depends on the September outlook.
After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.