
Rabobank says the DXY dollar index turned lower after the dovish FOMC on January 29 but remains above its January 21 level. Its analysts argue that expected Fed rate cuts may not weaken the dollar much because weaker US growth could drive safe-haven demand.
They expect any USD losses to be moderate.
Limited dollar weakness means limited support for dollar-priced grain, meal and energy prices, keeping the currency a modest factor for feed buyers.
After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.