Indonesia plans to raise its biodiesel blend to B40 with a target implementation date of July 2021, according to Coordinating Minister Airlangga Hartarto. Pertamina has also produced a first batch of 100% palm-based biodiesel at its Dumai refinery, and the EU plans to phase out palm-based biodiesel for transport.
A B40 mandate would significantly increase domestic palm oil use for biofuel, tightening exportable supply and supporting palm oil prices, while EU phase-out plans weigh on long-term export demand.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 187 past neutral policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -4.0% to +3.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.