
Indonesia is adopting its B50 biodiesel mandate this week, months ahead of schedule, requiring biofuels to make up 50% of diesel blend up from 40%. Indonesian biofuel producers say meeting demand through 2027 will be difficult without capacity expansion, and fuel retailers must start selling the higher blend by Oct 1.
Diverting large volumes of palm oil into domestic biodiesel tightens global exportable supply and supports palm and other vegetable oil prices.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.