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Indonesian crude palm oil exports are expected to fall in 2025 as domestic biofuel mandates absorb more output. Industry players forecast prices will nonetheless rise, citing US tariffs distorting the market and other geopolitical factors.
Lower Indonesian export availability tightens global palm supply, supporting palm prices and competing vegetable oil and meal demand.
asia.nikkei.comNANA SHIBATAMay 14, 2025After 548 past bullish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
