
The Malaysian Biodiesel Association expects record biodiesel output of up to 900,000 tonnes and exports of 475,000 tonnes in 2018, roughly double 2017 exports. Output could reach 1.2 million tonnes in 2019 if a planned biodiesel mandate increase to 10% proceeds.
Higher biodiesel demand pulls palm oil away from food and export uses, supporting palm oil prices while the palm-gasoil spread stays wide.
After 548 past bullish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 187 past neutral policy events, WTI moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -4.0% to +3.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.