
On 10 February 2022 Indonesia introduced a domestic market obligation requiring exporters of crude palm oil, refined palm olein and other palm mixtures to sell 20% of export volume at home. The rule was set under Trade Ministry Regulation No. 129/2022 and was slated to run until 10 March 2022.
Diverting a fifth of Indonesian export volume to a capped domestic market tightens palm supply available for export, supporting global palm and soyoil prices while lowering Indonesian domestic prices.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.