
China's pig herd has reached more than 90 percent of normal levels by end-November, according to the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs via Xinhua. Live hog prices have risen since late November on seasonal demand and strict coronavirus inspections slowing imported meat.
A near-recovered Chinese herd sustains strong feed demand, supporting grain and meal prices. Hog price strength reinforces expectations of continued Chinese imports.
After 177 past bullish disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 56 past bullish disease events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.6%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 67 past bullish disease events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.