
ActionForex expects US economic growth, rising Treasury yields and possible Fed tapering to lift the dollar again. It cites a jump in consumer confidence to its highest in 14 months and a 10-year breakeven rate at 2.39%, the highest since April 2013.
A firmer dollar would raise the cost of US commodity exports for foreign buyers, which could weigh on dollar-priced grain and oilseed prices.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.