
Commentary from Swissquote analysts expects US third-quarter GDP near 2.8% and a December Fed rate hike, with the US 10-year yield at 2.47%. They expect capital to rotate from emerging markets into the dollar, with the euro seen as vulnerable after the ECB decision.
Expectations of a stronger dollar and higher US rates typically pressure dollar-priced commodities and can drive capital out of emerging-market currencies that affect feed import demand.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.