
The dollar strengthened after the Fed's 25-basis-point cut to 2.00-2.25% was seen as less dovish than expected, with Powell indicating it was not the start of a lengthy easing cycle. EUR/USD broke below 1.1107, confirming a downtrend, and the yen and sterling also weakened against the dollar.
A broad dollar rally tightens global financing and makes US commodities more expensive for buyers paying in other currencies, which can soften dollar-quoted feed grain and meal prices.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.