
The dollar traded firm in Asia after positive ADP and GDP data, and the dollar index rebounded from a low of 91.62. Trump gave his first major tax reform speech but offered few details.
WTI crude fell to as low as $45.58, weighing on the Canadian dollar.
A firmer dollar puts modest pressure on dollar-priced commodities ahead of the US non-farm payrolls report. Lower crude prices reduce energy costs and weigh on biofuel-linked feed demand.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, WTI moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.