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The dollar fell on Friday after two days of gains, as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell struck a cautious tone and said the risks of under- and over-tightening were more balanced. Rate futures priced a 64% chance of a cut by the March meeting, up from 43% the previous day.
Powell's shift toward balanced risks raised expectations of easing, which weakens the dollar and can support dollar-priced agricultural commodities. The repricing of rate cut odds also affects financing costs for feed and livestock operations.
businesstimes.com.sgNov 30, 2023
reuters.comGertrude Chavez-DreyfussDec 1, 2023After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
