
The dollar hit a 16-month high against the euro after Jerome Powell was renominated as Fed chair, while the euro fell on renewed COVID lockdowns in Austria and considerations in Germany. The dollar index rose to 96.29, its highest since July 2020.
A firmer dollar and expectations of less dovish US policy tend to weigh on dollar-priced commodities, while a weaker euro shifts European feed demand and competitiveness.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.