The dollar index dropped nearly 0.9% on Wednesday after the Fed's projections implied 75 basis points of easing in 2024. Treasury yields fell sharply, and EUR/USD and GBP/USD rose.
Lower US yields and a weaker dollar reduce the cost of holding dollar commodities and can support feed grain and soymeal prices.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The dollar index fell nearly 0.9% on the Fed's dovish pivot (75 bp of implied easing) as Treasury yields dropped, which is the core mechanism of the move.