
The dollar dipped after Fed Chair Powell said the economy's strength could warrant further rate increases but noted that higher bond yields had significantly tightened financial conditions. Fed funds futures implied a 30% chance of a December hike, down from 39% before his comments.
Lower odds of further tightening weaken the dollar and can support dollar-priced commodities, while higher yields have been a headwind for risk assets.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.