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The gap between short-dated US and German borrowing costs widened to its largest since 1997, reaching about 281 basis points. The spread reflects diverging policy outlooks, with Fed Chair Powell reiterating gradual rate hikes while euro zone inflation slowed.
Markets expect the Fed to tighten more than planned due to fiscal stimulus.
A widening yield gap attracts capital into dollar assets and supports the currency, which can weigh on dollar-priced commodities. Euro weakness relative to the dollar also affects European export competitiveness.
finance.yahoo.comReutersMar 1, 2018After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
