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Fertilizer prices in the Netherlands are rising during the summer, which is unusual because prices normally fall after the season. The KAS 27 price has climbed to about €27.90 per 100 kg, driven largely by higher natural gas prices.
Asian buyers are building LNG stocks, which competes with European storage.
Higher natural gas costs raise nitrogen fertilizer production costs, supporting urea and nitrogen prices into the next season.
en.boerenbusiness.nlJurphaas LugtenburgAug 19, 2021After 92 past bullish macro events, UREA moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.0% to +3.6%), and +4.8% over 20.
After 155 past bullish macro events, NATGAS moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.0% to +7.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Rising European natural gas prices and LNG competition raise nitrogen production costs, which is a plausible input-cost driver of firmer urea prices.
