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TTF gas has fallen almost 20% since February 11 on rumours of storage relaxation and peace talks in Ukraine. Urea prices have stabilised at elevated levels after a rally, with European importers buying heavily ahead of possible tariffs on Russian fertiliser.
European stockpiling ahead of tariffs supports urea demand even as gas costs ease. Urea remains high, so buyers face firm nitrogen prices.
fertilizerdaily.comIlya MotoryginFeb 21, 2025After 92 past bullish macro events, Urea moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.0% to +3.6%), and +4.8% over 20.
After 59 past bearish macro events, Natural Gas moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -5.0% to +5.2%), and -2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
