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US wheat futures rose more than 1% as supply concerns grew from production losses in key export regions. SovEcon cut its Russian wheat export forecast to a five-year low, partly due to a smaller harvest.
A weaker U.S. dollar and a storm in the Gulf of Mexico that pushed crude higher also contributed.
Lower Russian export availability removes supply from the world market, which supports global wheat prices and export competition for U.S. wheat.
zmp.deAug 30, 2021After 72 past weather events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.6% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +5.3%), and +5.6% over 20.
After 322 past bullish weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.5% to +3.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
