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Corn futures closed lower after USDA crop ratings rose 3% to 73% good to excellent, and the dollar fell to its lowest since February 2022. Soybeans closed higher, supported by soybean oil gains after passage of a new bill with favorable biodiesel provisions.
Soybean meal ended lower at new yearly lows.
Biodiesel support lifts soybean oil and crush economics, which can tighten meal supply over time, but meal is currently weak. Better corn ratings and a weaker dollar keep corn prices under pressure and support US export competitiveness.
totalfarmmarketing.comJohn HeinbergJul 1, 2025After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 223 past bearish policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
After 310 past bearish policy events, Corn moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The 7/1 market summary says soybeans closed higher on soybean oil gains after passage of a bill with favorable biodiesel provisions, and a weaker dollar added support; this directly explains the 7/1 move.
