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The FAO reported that its food price index averaged 127.4 points in August, up from 123.5 in July, with wheat prices rising 8.8% month on month on lower harvest expectations in major exporters. Maize and international rice prices declined, while vegetable oil prices rose 6.7%, and the FAO cut its 2021 world cereal harvest forecast to 2.788 billion tonnes.
Lower harvest expectations in major exporters support wheat prices, while the reduced cereal crop estimate tightens global supply. Weaker maize and rice prices offset some of the cereal index gain.
cafeaberto.comJean J. WhiteSep 7, 2021After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 87 past bearish report events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.4%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 149 past bullish report events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
