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USDA projected a record 15.3 billion bushels of U.S. corn for 2023-24, up 108 million from its prior estimate, on record yields. The agency cut its season-average farm price to $4.80 per bushel, the lowest since 2021.
Corn futures had hit a three-year low on Jan. 8.
Record U.S. output and rising supplies in China, India and other countries threaten a global surplus, with U.S. exports to China and Mexico already declining. The bearish balance sheet points to continued pressure on corn and soybean prices.
agriculturedive.comSarah ZimmermanJan 16, 2024After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
