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The International Grains Council cut its outlook for global grain production and expected consumption to stay high, raising the possibility of the first stock contraction in five years. Its wheat price index rose almost 12 percent in a month to its highest since July 2015, driven by dry weather in Europe and North America.
Canadian and US growers shifted acreage toward canola and oilseeds because of wet planting conditions and weak wheat prices.
Lower global production and possible stock drawdown support world wheat prices and raise import costs for feed buyers. Shifting acreage to oilseeds may also tighten wheat availability.
graincentral.comHenry WellsJul 3, 2017After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The IGC's cut to its global production outlook and its sharp wheat price index rise reinforced supply-tightness sentiment on the final day of the window.
