India's agriculture ministry forecasts record 2018-19 rice output of 115.6 million tonnes and wheat of 99.1 million tonnes. Coarse grain production is seen significantly lower, and total grain output will fall 2 million tonnes short of last year's record.
A record Indian rice crop adds to ample world rice supply and is bearish for rice prices. Lower coarse grain output could modestly support sorghum and corn demand from India.
After 87 past bearish report events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.4%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.