Goldman Sachs cut its EUR/USD forecasts to 1.1400 over three months and 1.1600 over six months. The bank said markets will focus on downside risks to euro-area activity unless upcoming preliminary PMIs surprise to the upside.
The revision reflects weaker euro-zone growth prospects.
Weaker euro-area activity and a softer euro tend to strengthen the dollar, which can pressure dollar-priced commodities. The impact on feed prices is limited and works mainly through currency channels.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.