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Goldman Sachs now expects the Fed to accelerate tapering to finish in mid-March and to deliver three 25bp rate hikes in 2022. It also flags Omicron-related global growth risks that could lift the dollar as a safe haven.
A faster Fed tightening path and safe-haven demand would support the dollar and could weigh on US commodity export prices and dollar-based feed ingredient values.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.