
The dollar rose to a more than five-week high against the euro after ECB President Mario Draghi said economic risks had shifted to the downside and near-term data would likely be weaker than expected. The ECB left policy unchanged and kept a possible rate hike later in the year on the table.
The euro fell to $1.1299.
A firmer dollar and a weaker euro shift currency-driven demand and import costs for feed buyers and exporters. The effect on grain and oilseed prices is indirect and modest.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.