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The rand fell about 1.2% against the dollar on Monday as safe-haven demand rose on fears of a global slowdown and expectations of steep US rate hikes. The dollar index rose to a four-week high, and the US two-year/10-year Treasury curve inverted for the first time since April.
Local stocks also fell sharply.
Risk-off dollar strength raises the local cost of imported feed inputs and signals weaker global demand. The recession signal adds downside risk to commodity prices.
moneyweb.co.zaBhargav Acharya, Anait Miridzhanian, ReutersJun 13, 2022Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
