Goldman Sachs lowered its three- and six-month EUR/USD forecasts to 1.14 and 1.16 from 1.16 and 1.18. The bank cited euro-zone weakness, COVID-related restrictions and shifting Fed expectations after higher-than-expected October US CPI.
EUR/USD traded at about 1.1280 on Monday.
A weaker euro and firmer dollar on Fed tightening expectations support US dollar strength, which can cap dollar-denominated grain and oilseed prices. The effect on feed markets is indirect and mainly reflects currency-driven shifts in export competitiveness.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.