Loading…
The rand has fallen over 10% against the US dollar in 2022, while the dollar index has risen more than 15% this year. The Fed's target rate has moved from near zero in March 2022 to 3.00%-3.25%, and the rand has been pressured by aggressive US tightening and risk-off trading.
The article discusses whether USD/ZAR will keep rising or whether the hiking cycle is nearing an end.
Sustained rand weakness raises South African feed import costs, while an end to Fed tightening could ease that pressure. The analysis is a general currency outlook without a new supply or demand event.
capital.comCapital.comNov 1, 2022Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
