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HSBC economists expect the broad US dollar to stay resilient in the coming months, while downside risks to sterling grow as the BoE moves toward easing. They cite the BoE's March 21 decision to hold at 5.25% after February's hawkish dissenters joined the majority.
A firmer dollar tends to pressure dollar-denominated grain and meal prices and makes US exports less competitive, so feed buyers may see softer export-linked prices.
octaafrica.netMar 27, 2024After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
