
US natural gas futures closed slightly higher after surging about 75% in three days ahead of the season's largest winter storm. Low temperatures threaten to freeze pipeline water, disrupting gas production and exports.
Production and export disruption from freezing pipelines tightens gas supply sharply, raising energy and fertilizer input costs for feed producers.
After 30 past bullish weather events, Urea moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (67% higher; middle half -0.3% to +1.6%), and +9.1% over 20.
After 445 past neutral weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.