Loading…
Fertilizer prices are expected to stay high until at least Q2 2022, which may lower wheat acreage and yields and affect corn planting in Q3. Russia, the largest fertilizer exporter, plans a six-month fertilizer export quota starting 1 December, and it may also raise its wheat export tax.
Expensive fertilizer and Russian export quotas could reduce grain output and tighten feed grain supplies, supporting corn, wheat and fertilizer prices.
czapp.comAlberto CarmonaNov 11, 2021After 318 past bullish policy events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 182 past bullish policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 129 past bullish policy events, Urea moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.3%), and +1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
