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Rains arriving in Argentina this week are expected to halt further damage to soy and corn from a drought since December. The Rosario exchange had cut its corn and soy harvest forecasts before the rains.
Weather experts say some irreversible losses have already occurred.
Argentine export supply of soymeal and corn is reduced, but improving weather lowers the risk of further cuts. Prices may ease from recent highs as the threat stabilizes.
agweek.comMaximilian Heath, ReutersJan 20, 2022After 324 past neutral weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.7%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 445 past neutral weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 55 past neutral weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Argentine rains expected to halt further crop damage reduced supply-shortfall fears and weighed on prices.
