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Urea prices in New Orleans jumped 29% to $705 per short ton on Friday, a record one-day increase in the gauge's 45-year history. The surge followed concerns that Russia's invasion of Ukraine would curtail global nitrogen fertilizer supplies.
Urea is a key nitrogen input, and a sharp rise in fertilizer costs raises production costs for crops used in feed grains and may shift acreage away from corn. The price move points to higher feed input costs for buyers.
bloomberg.comElizabeth ElkinFeb 25, 2022After 205 past bullish geopolitics events, Urea moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.0%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
