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StoneX's Linville says about 25% of European nitrogen output remains offline because natural gas prices are high. Brazilian plants are shut, China has cut output by government order, and Egypt has limited industrial gas use.
He also warns India may cut its order as it did last year.
Multiple supply outages keep nitrogen prices supported, but the risk of India reducing purchases could weigh on the market.
brownfieldagnews.comLarry LeeJun 27, 2024After 205 past bullish geopolitics events, Urea moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.0%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 114 past bullish geopolitics events, DAP moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +1.2%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
