
Breakwave's weekly dry bulk report says freight is gaining momentum across all main dry bulk sizes, with larger vessels leading. It flags that Russia-Ukraine tensions are cutting grain shipment volumes, with February volumes well below prior months and prior years.
Russia and Ukraine together account for almost 30% of world grain exports.
Lower Black Sea grain shipments tighten wheat supply and support wheat prices, while the drop in grain volumes weighs on dry bulk demand and freight earnings.
After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.