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Signal Ocean's weekly dry bulk report says freight rates softened in late March as Russia blocked grain vessels from leaving the Black Sea, with 100 to 300 ships reportedly held. The IGC flagged food security risks, and India is set to export a record 7 million tons of wheat.
Blocked Black Sea grain loadings tighten global wheat availability and support export prices, while India's record wheat exports partly offset the gap. Softer dry bulk rates reduce freight costs for shipments that can move.
breakwaveadvisors.comSignal OceanMar 23, 2022After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 94 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.7% to +5.8%), and +0.1% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
