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AgResource analyst Ben Buckner says butter and cheese markets are approaching record highs and that the war in Ukraine is disrupting feed grain, energy and vegetable oil flows. He expects US dairy exports to set records in 2022 as foreign milk output lags.
Feed and energy disruption from the Ukraine war raises dairy production costs while strong export demand supports milk prices, tightening the feed-to-milk balance.
farmprogress.comFran O'LearyMar 21, 2022After 373 past bullish events of any kind, Milk (Class III) moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.0%), and +1.2% over 20.
After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
